Clinical trial · Observational
Pancreatic Disease Burden in Older Adults (1990-2040)
Global, Regional, and National Burdens of Pancreatic Cancer and Pancreatitis Among Older Adults From 1990 to 2021 With Projections to 2040: A Comprehensive and Comparative Investigation
- Source
- ClinicalTrials.gov
- Retrieved
- Sep 8, 2026
- Layer
- normalized (units and labels harmonized; values unchanged)
- Run
- ING-CLINICALTRIALS-20260908-000001
Summary
Brief summary (as posted)
Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, the investigators analyzed age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for pancreatic cancer and pancreatitis in adults aged ≥70 years across 204 countries and territories, stratified by sex, Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), health system performance, and region. The investigators calculated estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs), applied age-period-cohort modelling, and used Bayesian models to project future burden. Attributable burdens for key risk factors were also estimated.
Conditions
Conditions (2)
Free-text conditions as registered, with the CancerIndex entity they were reconciled to and the match type.
| Condition (as posted) | Mapped entity | Match | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pancreatic Cancer | Malignant Pancreatic Neoplasm | CURATED_EXACT | 0.92 |
| Pancreatitis | — | UNRESOLVED | — |
Interventions
Interventions (1)
| Intervention | Type | Mapped drug | Match |
|---|---|---|---|
| Natural history | Biological | — | UNRESOLVED |
Design
Arms and outcomes
Arms (2)
- label
- Pancreatic Cancer
- interventionNames
- Biological: Natural history
- label
- Pancreatitis
- interventionNames
- Biological: Natural history
Primary outcomes (3)
- measure
- Incidence
- timeFrame
- 1990-2021
- description
- The number of new cases of a givencause during a given period in aspecified population. It is xpressed as the number of newcases in a year divided by the mid-year population size.
- measure
- Deaths
- timeFrame
- 1990-2021
- description
Eligibility
Eligibility (as posted)
- Sex
- All
- Minimum age
- 70 Years
Show eligibility criteria text
Inclusion Criteria: * Diagnosis with pancreatic cancer or pancreatitis * Diagnosis in 1990 through 2021 * Age 70+ years Exclusion Criteria: * Age \<70 years * Other non-pancreatic diseases
References
Publications (0)
Data not yet available